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J. Domingues vs V. Ursu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. DominguesV. Ursu
40.8 %59.2 %
Model favourite
V. Ursu
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · J. Domingues

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court21:30
J. Domingues
J. Domingues
vs
V. Ursu
V. Ursu
1720
Elo
1708
1708
Elo on hard court
1730
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.20
Odds
1.57

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Domingues
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
V. Ursu
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
4 – 6
8 – 16
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
1-4 (20%)
2026 record
6-14 (30%)
5-10 (33%)
Record on hard court
26-44 (37%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Domingues and V. Ursu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1720 against 1708): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 22 points in favour of V. Ursu. J. Domingues won 4 of the last ten matches, V. Ursu won 3. J. Domingues has one win in the last five matches. V. Ursu has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make V. Ursu the favourite.

The model gave V. Ursu the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Domingues won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Domingues's last five matches

V. Ursu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Domingues's first match of the tournament. This is V. Ursu's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Domingues wins 51 % (18 of 35), V. Ursu 53 % (9 of 17). In deciding sets, J. Domingues wins 40 % of the time (48 matches), V. Ursu 54 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, J. Domingues turned 18 % of matches around (67 occasions), V. Ursu 16 % (57 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Domingues went on to win 63 % of matches, V. Ursu 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Domingues – V. Ursu

Who is the favourite between J. Domingues and V. Ursu?
The match is over: J. Domingues won 2-0. Bookmakers make V. Ursu the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.20 for J. Domingues. Pronocast's model had V. Ursu winning at 59 %.
When is the J. Domingues – V. Ursu match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 21:30, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Domingues and V. Ursu?
No meeting between J. Domingues and V. Ursu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Domingues – V. Ursu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026