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J. Lu vs H. Kinoshita prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. LuH. Kinoshita
43.0 %57.0 %
Model favourite
H. Kinoshita
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · J. Lu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court07:10
J. Lu
J. Lu
vs
H. Kinoshita
H. Kinoshita
1806
Elo
1825
1789
Elo on hard court
1796
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
7
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.15
Odds
1.67

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Lu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
H. Kinoshita
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
7 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
2-3 (40%)
2026 record
5-8 (38%)
8-13 (38%)
Record on hard court
4-7 (36%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Lu and H. Kinoshita, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Kinoshita comes in with an Elo of 1825, against 1806 for J. Lu: a 19-point edge. J. Lu won 6 of the last ten matches, H. Kinoshita won 3. J. Lu has 2 wins in the last five matches. H. Kinoshita has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Kinoshita the favourite.

The model gave H. Kinoshita the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Lu won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Lu's last five matches

H. Kinoshita's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Lu's first match of the tournament. This is H. Kinoshita's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Sun, who beat Y. Ma in the final (6-4 6-2).

Frequently asked questions about J. Lu – H. Kinoshita

Who is the favourite between J. Lu and H. Kinoshita?
The match is over: J. Lu won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Kinoshita the favourite, priced at 1.67 against 2.15 for J. Lu. Pronocast's model had H. Kinoshita winning at 57 %.
When is the J. Lu – H. Kinoshita match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 07:10, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Lu and H. Kinoshita?
No meeting between J. Lu and H. Kinoshita appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Lu – H. Kinoshita?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026