Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

R. Hijikata vs C. Ugo Carabelli prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. HijikataC. Ugo Carabelli
60.3 %39.7 %
Model favourite
R. Hijikata
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · R. Hijikata

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court04:05
R. Hijikata
R. Hijikata
vs
C. Ugo Carabelli
C. Ugo Carabelli
2107
Elo
2062
2019
Elo on hard court
1831
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Hijikata
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
C. Ugo Carabelli
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
9 – 18
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
33-27 (55%)
2026 record
21-21 (50%)
140-103 (58%)
Record on hard court
20-30 (40%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Hijikata and C. Ugo Carabelli, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Hijikata comes in with an Elo of 2107, against 2062 for C. Ugo Carabelli: a 45-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 188 points in favour of R. Hijikata. R. Hijikata won 5 of the last ten matches, C. Ugo Carabelli won 3. R. Hijikata has 2 wins in the last five matches. C. Ugo Carabelli has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, R. Hijikata leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave R. Hijikata the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Hijikata won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Hijikata's last five matches

C. Ugo Carabelli's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

R. Hijikata leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is R. Hijikata's first match of the tournament. This is C. Ugo Carabelli's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Hijikata wins 61 % (81 of 133), C. Ugo Carabelli 52 % (58 of 111). In deciding sets, R. Hijikata wins 54 % of the time (112 matches), C. Ugo Carabelli 66 % (116 matches). After losing the first set, R. Hijikata turned 24 % of matches around (157 occasions), C. Ugo Carabelli 27 % (155 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Hijikata went on to win 81 % of matches, C. Ugo Carabelli 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Hijikata – C. Ugo Carabelli

Who is the favourite between R. Hijikata and C. Ugo Carabelli?
The match is over: R. Hijikata won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had R. Hijikata winning at 60 %.
When is the R. Hijikata – C. Ugo Carabelli match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 04:05, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Hijikata and C. Ugo Carabelli?
Since 2020, R. Hijikata leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Hijikata – C. Ugo Carabelli?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026