I. Palavestra vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
I. PalavestraD. Ostapenkov
12.0 %88.0 %
Model favourite
D. Ostapenkov
Probability
88 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · D. Ostapenkov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusQualifyinghard court00:40
1387
Elo
1759
1390
Elo on hard court
1738
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Palavestra
  1. L
D. Ostapenkov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
0 – 1
Wins – losses
5 – 5
1 – 2
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
–
2026 record
14-9 (61%)
0-1 (0%)
Record on hard court
10-7 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Palavestra and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Ostapenkov comes in with an Elo of 1759, against 1387 for I. Palavestra: a 372-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 348 points in favour of D. Ostapenkov. I. Palavestra won 3 of the last ten matches, D. Ostapenkov won 5. D. Ostapenkov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave D. Ostapenkov the win at 88 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Ostapenkov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

I. Palavestra's last five matches

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is I. Palavestra's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, D. Ostapenkov beat Q. Vandecasteele (6-2 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Frequently asked questions about I. Palavestra – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between I. Palavestra and D. Ostapenkov?
The match is over: D. Ostapenkov won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had D. Ostapenkov winning at 88 %.
When is the I. Palavestra – D. Ostapenkov match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 00:40, at the Columbus tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Palavestra and D. Ostapenkov?
No meeting between I. Palavestra and D. Ostapenkov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Palavestra – D. Ostapenkov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026