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J. M. Cerundolo vs C. Alcaraz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has C. Alcaraz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
C. Alcaraz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court12:00
J. M. Cerundolo
J. M. Cerundolo
vs
C. Alcaraz
C. Alcaraz
13.00
Odds
1.03

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. M. Cerundolo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
C. Alcaraz
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
9 – 1
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
24 – 7
1 win
Current streak
5 wins
33-23 (59%)
2026 record
31-4 (89%)
27-35 (44%)
Record on hard court
158-38 (81%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. M. Cerundolo and C. Alcaraz, before this match.

Recent matches

J. M. Cerundolo's last five matches

C. Alcaraz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Alcaraz leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. M. Cerundolo beat N. Mejia (6-4 6-4). This is C. Alcaraz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. M. Cerundolo wins 61 % (61 of 100), C. Alcaraz 61 % (95 of 156). In deciding sets, J. M. Cerundolo wins 62 % of the time (117 matches), C. Alcaraz 74 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, J. M. Cerundolo turned 25 % of matches around (149 occasions), C. Alcaraz 49 % (84 occasions). After winning the first set, J. M. Cerundolo went on to win 89 % of matches, C. Alcaraz 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. M. Cerundolo – C. Alcaraz

Who is the favourite between J. M. Cerundolo and C. Alcaraz?
Bookmakers make C. Alcaraz the favourite, priced at 1.03 against 13.00 for J. M. Cerundolo. Pronocast's model has C. Alcaraz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the J. M. Cerundolo – C. Alcaraz match?
On Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 12:00, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. M. Cerundolo and C. Alcaraz?
Since 2020, C. Alcaraz leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. M. Cerundolo – C. Alcaraz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 October 2026

All matches on 10 October 2026