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J. Sels vs R. Peniston prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. SelsR. Peniston
39.2 %60.8 %
Model favourite
R. Peniston
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · R. Peniston

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQualifyinghard court13:20
J. Sels
J. Sels
vs
R. Peniston
R. Peniston
1668
Elo
1829
1699
Elo on hard court
1777
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.21
Odds
1.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Sels
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
R. Peniston
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
0 – 10
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
4 – 20
2 losses
Current streak
10 losses
6-13 (32%)
2026 record
0-9 (0%)
46-46 (50%)
Record on hard court
90-80 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Sels and R. Peniston, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Peniston comes in with an Elo of 1829, against 1668 for J. Sels: a 161-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 78 points in favour of R. Peniston. J. Sels won 4 of the last ten matches, R. Peniston won 2. J. Sels has 2 wins in the last five matches. R. Peniston has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Peniston the favourite.

The model gave R. Peniston the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Peniston won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Sels's last five matches

R. Peniston's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Sels's first match of the tournament. This is R. Peniston's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Sels wins 45 % (35 of 77), R. Peniston 51 % (33 of 65). In deciding sets, J. Sels wins 53 % of the time (59 matches), R. Peniston 52 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, J. Sels turned 16 % of matches around (122 occasions), R. Peniston 18 % (111 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Sels went on to win 82 % of matches, R. Peniston 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Sels – R. Peniston

Who is the favourite between J. Sels and R. Peniston?
The match is over: R. Peniston won 2-0. Bookmakers make R. Peniston the favourite, priced at 1.56 against 2.21 for J. Sels. Pronocast's model had R. Peniston winning at 61 %.
When is the J. Sels – R. Peniston match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 13:20, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Sels and R. Peniston?
No meeting between J. Sels and R. Peniston appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Sels – R. Peniston?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026