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C. Chidekh vs H. Mayot prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
C. ChidekhH. Mayot
48.9 %51.1 %
Model favourite
H. Mayot
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-1 · C. Chidekh

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQuarter-finalhard court20:45
C. Chidekh
C. Chidekh
vs
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
2042
Elo
2045
1992
Elo on hard court
2038
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
9
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.80
Odds
1.86

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Chidekh
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
H. Mayot
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
37-22 (63%)
2026 record
24-16 (60%)
81-58 (58%)
Record on hard court
101-79 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Chidekh and H. Mayot, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2042 against 2045): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 46 points in favour of H. Mayot. C. Chidekh won 9 of the last ten matches, H. Mayot won 8. C. Chidekh has 4 wins in the last five matches. H. Mayot has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Mayot leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make C. Chidekh the favourite.

The model gave H. Mayot the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. Chidekh won 1-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

C. Chidekh's last five matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Mayot leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, C. Chidekh beat D. Goffin (6-1 6-0), then U. Blanchet (6-4 3-6 6-2). To reach this round, H. Mayot beat N. Visker (6-3 7-5), then T. Schoolkate (6-4 2-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, C. Chidekh wins 43 % (20 of 46), H. Mayot 43 % (40 of 92). In deciding sets, C. Chidekh wins 53 % of the time (60 matches), H. Mayot 52 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, C. Chidekh turned 15 % of matches around (74 occasions), H. Mayot 14 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Chidekh went on to win 87 % of matches, H. Mayot 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. Chidekh – H. Mayot

Who is the favourite between C. Chidekh and H. Mayot?
The match is over: C. Chidekh won 1-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: C. Chidekh is priced at 1.80, H. Mayot at 1.86. Pronocast's model had H. Mayot winning at 51 %.
When is the C. Chidekh – H. Mayot match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 20:45, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between C. Chidekh and H. Mayot?
Since 2020, H. Mayot leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Chidekh – H. Mayot?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026