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H. Bernet vs F. Balshaw prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
H. BernetF. Balshaw
55.3 %44.7 %
Model favourite
H. Bernet
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · H. Bernet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQuarter-finalhard court18:45
H. Bernet
H. Bernet
vs
F. Balshaw
F. Balshaw
1991
Elo
2040
1941
Elo on hard court
1932
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
7
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.73
Odds
1.93

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Bernet
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
F. Balshaw
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
8 – 2
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
16 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
10-15 (40%)
2026 record
28-13 (68%)
5-9 (36%)
Record on hard court
16-9 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Bernet and F. Balshaw, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Balshaw comes in with an Elo of 2040, against 1991 for H. Bernet: a 49-point edge. H. Bernet won 8 of the last ten matches, F. Balshaw won 8. H. Bernet has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Balshaw has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Bernet the favourite.

The model gave H. Bernet the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Bernet won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

H. Bernet's last five matches

F. Balshaw's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Bernet beat D. Glinka (6-4 6-4), then D. Stricker (6-1 7-6). To reach this round, F. Balshaw beat B. Harris (7-6 3-6 7-6), then N. Budkov Kjaer (7-5 4-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Bernet wins 53 % (8 of 15), F. Balshaw 64 % (14 of 22). In deciding sets, H. Bernet wins 28 % of the time (18 matches), F. Balshaw 67 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, H. Bernet turned 18 % of matches around (22 occasions), F. Balshaw 35 % (20 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Bernet went on to win 68 % of matches, F. Balshaw 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Bernet – F. Balshaw

Who is the favourite between H. Bernet and F. Balshaw?
The match is over: H. Bernet won 2-1. Bookmakers make H. Bernet the favourite, priced at 1.73 against 1.93 for F. Balshaw. Pronocast's model had H. Bernet winning at 55 %.
When is the H. Bernet – F. Balshaw match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 18:45, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Bernet and F. Balshaw?
No meeting between H. Bernet and F. Balshaw appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Bernet – F. Balshaw?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026