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K. Muchova vs L. Samsonova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
K. MuchovaL. Samsonova
76.0 %24.0 %
Model favourite
K. Muchova
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · K. Muchova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court16:10
K. Muchova
K. Muchova
vs
L. Samsonova
L. Samsonova
2474
Elo
2235
2355
Elo on hard court
2121
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.20
Odds
3.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Muchova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Samsonova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 6
Sets won – lost
15 – 13
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
38-10 (79%)
2026 record
20-22 (48%)
93-36 (72%)
Record on hard court
46-44 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Muchova and L. Samsonova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Muchova comes in with an Elo of 2474, against 2235 for L. Samsonova: a 238-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 234 points in favour of K. Muchova. K. Muchova won 8 of the last ten matches, L. Samsonova won 6. K. Muchova has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Samsonova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Muchova the favourite.

The model gave K. Muchova the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Muchova won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Muchova's last five matches

L. Samsonova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Muchova beat K. Boulter (7-6 6-1). To reach this round, L. Samsonova beat L. Fruhvirtova (6-2 3-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Muchova wins 67 % (38 of 57), L. Samsonova 47 % (20 of 43). In deciding sets, K. Muchova wins 57 % of the time (69 matches), L. Samsonova 45 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, K. Muchova turned 27 % of matches around (66 occasions), L. Samsonova 24 % (63 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Muchova went on to win 91 % of matches, L. Samsonova 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Muchova – L. Samsonova

Who is the favourite between K. Muchova and L. Samsonova?
The match is over: K. Muchova won 2-1. Bookmakers make K. Muchova the favourite, priced at 1.20 against 3.50 for L. Samsonova. Pronocast's model had K. Muchova winning at 76 %.
When is the K. Muchova – L. Samsonova match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 16:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Muchova and L. Samsonova?
No meeting between K. Muchova and L. Samsonova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Muchova – L. Samsonova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026