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L. Broady vs D. Stricker prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. BroadyD. Stricker
30.2 %69.8 %
Model favourite
D. Stricker
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · D. Stricker

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 32hard court11:10
L. Broady
L. Broady
vs
D. Stricker
D. Stricker
1882
Elo
2004
1834
Elo on hard court
1964
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.75
Odds
1.31

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Broady
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
D. Stricker
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
7 – 3
7 – 16
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
7 losses
Current streak
2 losses
23-19 (55%)
2026 record
19-10 (66%)
127-82 (61%)
Record on hard court
59-43 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Broady and D. Stricker, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Stricker comes in with an Elo of 2004, against 1882 for L. Broady: a 122-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 131 points in favour of D. Stricker. L. Broady won 2 of the last ten matches, D. Stricker won 7. L. Broady has no win in the last five matches. D. Stricker has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Stricker leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Stricker the favourite.

The model gave D. Stricker the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Stricker won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Broady's last five matches

D. Stricker's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Stricker leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is L. Broady's first match of the tournament. This is D. Stricker's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Broady wins 51 % (45 of 88), D. Stricker 52 % (51 of 98). In deciding sets, L. Broady wins 54 % of the time (90 matches), D. Stricker 58 % (67 matches). After losing the first set, L. Broady turned 21 % of matches around (126 occasions), D. Stricker 25 % (101 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Broady went on to win 88 % of matches, D. Stricker 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Broady – D. Stricker

Who is the favourite between L. Broady and D. Stricker?
The match is over: D. Stricker won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Stricker the favourite, priced at 1.31 against 2.75 for L. Broady. Pronocast's model had D. Stricker winning at 70 %.
When is the L. Broady – D. Stricker match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 11:10, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Broady and D. Stricker?
Since 2020, D. Stricker leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Broady – D. Stricker?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026