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L. Potenza vs I. Montes-De La Torre prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. PotenzaI. Montes-De La Torre
24.8 %75.2 %
Model favourite
I. Montes-De La Torre
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Montes-De La Torre

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court16:20
L. Potenza
L. Potenza
vs
I. Montes-De La Torre
I. Montes-De La Torre
1755
Elo
1930
1719
Elo on hard court
1884
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Potenza
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
I. Montes-De La Torre
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
2 losses
12-14 (46%)
2026 record
25-14 (64%)
28-27 (51%)
Record on hard court
45-27 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Potenza and I. Montes-De La Torre, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Montes-De La Torre comes in with an Elo of 1930, against 1755 for L. Potenza: a 176-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 166 points in favour of I. Montes-De La Torre. L. Potenza won 6 of the last ten matches, I. Montes-De La Torre won 7. L. Potenza has 2 wins in the last five matches. I. Montes-De La Torre has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, I. Montes-De La Torre leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave I. Montes-De La Torre the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Montes-De La Torre won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Potenza's last five matches

I. Montes-De La Torre's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

I. Montes-De La Torre leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Potenza beat I. Marrero Curbelo (6-4 4-6 6-3). This is I. Montes-De La Torre's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Potenza wins 42 % (16 of 38), I. Montes-De La Torre 67 % (18 of 27). In deciding sets, L. Potenza wins 56 % of the time (34 matches), I. Montes-De La Torre 54 % (37 matches). After losing the first set, L. Potenza turned 18 % of matches around (56 occasions), I. Montes-De La Torre 23 % (52 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Potenza went on to win 86 % of matches, I. Montes-De La Torre 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Potenza – I. Montes-De La Torre

Who is the favourite between L. Potenza and I. Montes-De La Torre?
The match is over: I. Montes-De La Torre won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had I. Montes-De La Torre winning at 75 %.
When is the L. Potenza – I. Montes-De La Torre match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 16:20, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Potenza and I. Montes-De La Torre?
Since 2020, I. Montes-De La Torre leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Potenza – I. Montes-De La Torre?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026