Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

L. Poullain vs R. Bertola prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. PoullainR. Bertola
39.9 %60.1 %
Model favourite
R. Bertola
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · L. Poullain

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 16hard court20:45
L. Poullain
L. Poullain
vs
R. Bertola
R. Bertola
1852
Elo
1950
1850
Elo on hard court
1850
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.27
Odds
1.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Poullain
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
R. Bertola
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
21-11 (66%)
2026 record
29-26 (53%)
61-54 (53%)
Record on hard court
49-40 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Poullain and R. Bertola, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Bertola comes in with an Elo of 1950, against 1852 for L. Poullain: a 97-point edge. L. Poullain won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Bertola won 4. L. Poullain has 2 wins in the last five matches. R. Bertola has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Bertola the favourite.

The model gave R. Bertola the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Poullain won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Poullain's last five matches

R. Bertola's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Poullain beat M. Lajal (7-6 5-7 6-3). To reach this round, R. Bertola beat A. Reco (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Poullain wins 62 % (21 of 34), R. Bertola 50 % (36 of 72). In deciding sets, L. Poullain wins 47 % of the time (32 matches), R. Bertola 52 % (75 matches). After losing the first set, L. Poullain turned 19 % of matches around (58 occasions), R. Bertola 19 % (99 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Poullain went on to win 86 % of matches, R. Bertola 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Poullain – R. Bertola

Who is the favourite between L. Poullain and R. Bertola?
The match is over: L. Poullain won 2-1. Bookmakers make R. Bertola the favourite, priced at 1.56 against 2.27 for L. Poullain. Pronocast's model had R. Bertola winning at 60 %.
When is the L. Poullain – R. Bertola match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 20:45, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Poullain and R. Bertola?
No meeting between L. Poullain and R. Bertola appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Poullain – R. Bertola?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026