Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

L. Staeheli vs M. Exsted prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. StaeheliM. Exsted
57.9 %42.1 %
Model favourite
L. Staeheli
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · L. Staeheli

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court23:00
L. Staeheli
L. Staeheli
vs
M. Exsted
M. Exsted
1794
Elo
1655
1598
Elo on hard court
1477
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Staeheli
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Exsted
  1. L
  2. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
0 – 2
13 – 9
Sets won – lost
0 – 4
1 win
Current streak
2 losses
9-7 (56%)
2026 record
–
0-3 (0%)
Record on hard court
0-2 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Staeheli and M. Exsted, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Staeheli comes in with an Elo of 1794, against 1655 for M. Exsted: a 139-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 122 points in favour of L. Staeheli. L. Staeheli won 8 of the last ten matches, M. Exsted won 6. L. Staeheli has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Staeheli the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Staeheli won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Staeheli's last five matches

M. Exsted's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Staeheli's first match of the tournament. This is M. Exsted's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about L. Staeheli – M. Exsted

Who is the favourite between L. Staeheli and M. Exsted?
The match is over: L. Staeheli won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Staeheli winning at 58 %.
When is the L. Staeheli – M. Exsted match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 23:00, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Staeheli and M. Exsted?
No meeting between L. Staeheli and M. Exsted appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Staeheli – M. Exsted?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026