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M. Arnaldi vs T. Fritz prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has T. Fritz winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
T. Fritz
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court07:30
M. Arnaldi
M. Arnaldi
vs
T. Fritz
T. Fritz
3.92
Odds
1.24

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Arnaldi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
T. Fritz
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 17
Sets won – lost
17 – 11
1 win
Current streak
3 losses
19-16 (54%)
2026 record
33-18 (65%)
68-73 (48%)
Record on hard court
169-80 (68%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Arnaldi and T. Fritz, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Arnaldi's last five matches

T. Fritz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Arnaldi beat B. Tomic (6-3 6-1). This is T. Fritz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Arnaldi wins 57 % (69 of 121), T. Fritz 59 % (130 of 222). In deciding sets, M. Arnaldi wins 52 % of the time (124 matches), T. Fritz 57 % (126 matches). After losing the first set, M. Arnaldi turned 26 % of matches around (131 occasions), T. Fritz 30 % (125 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Arnaldi went on to win 79 % of matches, T. Fritz 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Arnaldi – T. Fritz

Who is the favourite between M. Arnaldi and T. Fritz?
Bookmakers make T. Fritz the favourite, priced at 1.24 against 3.92 for M. Arnaldi. Pronocast's model has T. Fritz winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Arnaldi – T. Fritz match?
On Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 07:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Arnaldi and T. Fritz?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Arnaldi – T. Fritz?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 October 2026

All matches on 10 October 2026