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M. Barthel vs N. Basiletti prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BarthelN. Basiletti
59.2 %40.8 %
Model favourite
M. Barthel
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Barthel

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaSemi-finalclay14:35
M. Barthel
M. Barthel
vs
N. Basiletti
N. Basiletti
2023
Elo
1998
1962
Elo on clay
1994
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.57
Odds
2.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Barthel
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
N. Basiletti
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
17 – 6
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
14-12 (54%)
2026 record
12-7 (63%)
24-31 (44%)
Record on clay
12-8 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Barthel and N. Basiletti, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Barthel comes in with an Elo of 2023, against 1998 for N. Basiletti: a 25-point edge. On clay, the gap is 32 points in favour of N. Basiletti. M. Barthel won 7 of the last ten matches, N. Basiletti won 9. M. Barthel has 3 wins in the last five matches. N. Basiletti has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Barthel the favourite.

The model gave M. Barthel the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Barthel won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Barthel's last five matches

N. Basiletti's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Barthel beat R. Zelnickova (6-0 6-4), then F. Jones (6-0 6-4), then M. Ristic (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, N. Basiletti beat L. Radivojevic (7-6 6-4), then J. Struplova (6-2 6-3), then E. Gorgodze (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, M. Barthel went on to win 77 % of matches, N. Basiletti 92 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Barthel – N. Basiletti

Who is the favourite between M. Barthel and N. Basiletti?
The match is over: M. Barthel won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Barthel the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.25 for N. Basiletti. Pronocast's model had M. Barthel winning at 59 %.
When is the M. Barthel – N. Basiletti match?
On Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:35, at the Ljubljana tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Barthel and N. Basiletti?
No meeting between M. Barthel and N. Basiletti appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Barthel – N. Basiletti?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 19 September 2026

All matches on 19 September 2026