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A. Sobolieva vs L. Samson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. SobolievaL. Samson
45.3 %54.7 %
Model favourite
L. Samson
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. Samson

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaQuarter-finalclay10:00
A. Sobolieva
A. Sobolieva
vs
L. Samson
L. Samson
2073
Elo
2047
2068
Elo on clay
2105
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.14
Odds
1.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Sobolieva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
L. Samson
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
8-5 (62%)
2026 record
13-11 (54%)
24-13 (65%)
Record on clay
39-27 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Sobolieva and L. Samson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sobolieva comes in with an Elo of 2073, against 2047 for L. Samson: a 25-point edge. On clay, the gap is 37 points in favour of L. Samson. A. Sobolieva won 7 of the last ten matches, L. Samson won 6. A. Sobolieva has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Samson has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Samson the favourite.

The model gave L. Samson the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Samson won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Sobolieva's last five matches

L. Samson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Sobolieva beat L. Boskovic (6-2 7-5), then D. Zoldakova (7-5 6-4). To reach this round, L. Samson beat L. Ciric Bagaric (6-3 6-2), then W. Falkowska (6-7 6-0 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Sobolieva wins 45 % (5 of 11), L. Samson 53 % (31 of 58). In deciding sets, A. Sobolieva wins 63 % of the time (19 matches), L. Samson 55 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, A. Sobolieva turned 12 % of matches around (26 occasions), L. Samson 25 % (65 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Sobolieva went on to win 87 % of matches, L. Samson 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Sobolieva – L. Samson

Who is the favourite between A. Sobolieva and L. Samson?
The match is over: L. Samson won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Samson the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 2.14 for A. Sobolieva. Pronocast's model had L. Samson winning at 55 %.
When is the A. Sobolieva – L. Samson match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 10:00, at the Ljubljana tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between A. Sobolieva and L. Samson?
No meeting between A. Sobolieva and L. Samson appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Sobolieva – L. Samson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026