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M. Bellucci vs E. Ymer prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BellucciE. Ymer
85.2 %14.8 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
85 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Bellucci

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court12:45
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
vs
E. Ymer
E. Ymer
2127
Elo
1883
2035
Elo on hard court
1818
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
7
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.11
Odds
5.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bellucci
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
E. Ymer
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
10 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
32-27 (54%)
2026 record
18-20 (47%)
113-84 (57%)
Record on hard court
77-94 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bellucci and E. Ymer, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bellucci comes in with an Elo of 2127, against 1883 for E. Ymer: a 244-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 217 points in favour of M. Bellucci. M. Bellucci won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Ymer won 4. M. Bellucci has 4 wins in the last five matches. E. Ymer has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 85 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bellucci won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

E. Ymer's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is M. Bellucci's first match of the tournament. This is E. Ymer's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bellucci wins 53 % (60 of 114), E. Ymer 45 % (62 of 138). In deciding sets, M. Bellucci wins 48 % of the time (71 matches), E. Ymer 52 % (124 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bellucci turned 13 % of matches around (116 occasions), E. Ymer 20 % (171 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bellucci went on to win 83 % of matches, E. Ymer 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bellucci – E. Ymer

Who is the favourite between M. Bellucci and E. Ymer?
The match is over: M. Bellucci won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite, priced at 1.11 against 5.72 for E. Ymer. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 85 %.
When is the M. Bellucci – E. Ymer match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 12:45, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bellucci and E. Ymer?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bellucci – E. Ymer?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026