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M. Bouzkova vs Q. Zheng prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BouzkovaQ. Zheng
43.8 %56.2 %
Model favourite
Q. Zheng
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · Q. Zheng

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court08:15
M. Bouzkova
M. Bouzkova
vs
Q. Zheng
Q. Zheng
2295
Elo
2298
2103
Elo on hard court
2280
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.15
Odds
1.69

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bouzkova
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Q. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
13 – 9
Sets won – lost
17 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
30-20 (60%)
2026 record
19-15 (56%)
100-74 (57%)
Record on hard court
108-49 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bouzkova and Q. Zheng, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2295 against 2298): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 177 points in favour of Q. Zheng. M. Bouzkova won 6 of the last ten matches, Q. Zheng won 8. M. Bouzkova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Q. Zheng has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave Q. Zheng the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Q. Zheng won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bouzkova's last five matches

Q. Zheng's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Bouzkova beat K. Birrell (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, Q. Zheng beat H. Shi (7-6 4-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bouzkova wins 49 % (36 of 74), Q. Zheng 55 % (35 of 64). In deciding sets, M. Bouzkova wins 53 % of the time (85 matches), Q. Zheng 68 % (95 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bouzkova turned 21 % of matches around (107 occasions), Q. Zheng 32 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bouzkova went on to win 85 % of matches, Q. Zheng 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bouzkova – Q. Zheng

Who is the favourite between M. Bouzkova and Q. Zheng?
The match is over: Q. Zheng won 2-1. Bookmakers make Q. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.69 against 2.15 for M. Bouzkova. Pronocast's model had Q. Zheng winning at 56 %.
When is the M. Bouzkova – Q. Zheng match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 08:15, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bouzkova and Q. Zheng?
No meeting between M. Bouzkova and Q. Zheng appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bouzkova – Q. Zheng?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026