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M. Donald vs G. Cadenasso prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. DonaldG. Cadenasso
37.2 %62.8 %
Model favourite
G. Cadenasso
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Donald

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3220:35
M. Donald
M. Donald
vs
G. Cadenasso
G. Cadenasso
1795
Elo
1952
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.45
Odds
1.49

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Donald
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
G. Cadenasso
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
12-11 (52%)
2026 record
12-12 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Donald and G. Cadenasso, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Cadenasso comes in with an Elo of 1952, against 1795 for M. Donald: a 157-point edge. M. Donald won 5 of the last ten matches, G. Cadenasso won 4. M. Donald has 2 wins in the last five matches. G. Cadenasso has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Cadenasso the favourite.

The model gave G. Cadenasso the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Donald won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Donald's last five matches

G. Cadenasso's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Donald's first match of the tournament. This is G. Cadenasso's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Donald turned 19 % of matches around (16 occasions), G. Cadenasso 20 % (25 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Donald went on to win 71 % of matches, G. Cadenasso 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Donald – G. Cadenasso

Who is the favourite between M. Donald and G. Cadenasso?
The match is over: M. Donald won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Cadenasso the favourite, priced at 1.49 against 2.45 for M. Donald. Pronocast's model had G. Cadenasso winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Donald – G. Cadenasso match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 20:35, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Donald and G. Cadenasso?
No meeting between M. Donald and G. Cadenasso appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Donald – G. Cadenasso?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026