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M. Donald vs M. Krumich prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. DonaldM. Krumich
34.5 %65.5 %
Model favourite
M. Krumich
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Donald

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationQuarter-final16:40
M. Donald
M. Donald
vs
M. Krumich
M. Krumich
1835
Elo
1898
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.73
Odds
1.40

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Donald
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Krumich
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
16-12 (57%)
2026 record
40-27 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Donald and M. Krumich, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Krumich comes in with an Elo of 1898, against 1835 for M. Donald: a 63-point edge. M. Donald won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Krumich won 5. M. Donald has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Krumich has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Krumich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite.

The model gave M. Krumich the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Donald won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Donald's last five matches

M. Krumich's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Krumich leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Donald beat C. Cordoba (6-1 6-1), then D. Sakellaridis (7-5 7-6), then O. Wallin (6-3 7-5). To reach this round, M. Krumich beat P. Basile (6-3 6-1).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, M. Donald wins 50 % of the time (10 matches), M. Krumich 44 % (61 matches). After losing the first set, M. Donald turned 18 % of matches around (17 occasions), M. Krumich 22 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Donald went on to win 78 % of matches, M. Krumich 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Donald – M. Krumich

Who is the favourite between M. Donald and M. Krumich?
The match is over: M. Donald won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.73 for M. Donald. Pronocast's model had M. Krumich winning at 65 %.
When is the M. Donald – M. Krumich match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 16:40, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Quarter-final, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Donald and M. Krumich?
Since 2020, M. Krumich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Donald – M. Krumich?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026