J. C. Martin Manzano vs M. Donald prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. C. Martin ManzanoM. Donald
47.3 %52.7 %
Model favourite
M. Donald
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · J. C. Martin Manzano

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationSemi-final15:45
vs
M. Donald
M. Donald
1886
Elo
1855
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. C. Martin Manzano
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Donald
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 6
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
4 wins
19-17 (53%)
2026 record
17-12 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. C. Martin Manzano and M. Donald, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. C. Martin Manzano comes in with an Elo of 1886, against 1855 for M. Donald: a 31-point edge. J. C. Martin Manzano won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Donald won 6. J. C. Martin Manzano has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Donald has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Donald the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. C. Martin Manzano won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. C. Martin Manzano's last five matches

M. Donald's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. C. Martin Manzano beat M. Sciahbasi (7-5 6-3), then J. Clarke (6-4 6-4), then E. Dalla Valle (6-1 6-2). To reach this round, M. Donald beat C. Cordoba (6-1 6-1), then D. Sakellaridis (7-5 7-6), then O. Wallin (6-3 7-5), then M. Krumich (4-6 6-1 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, J. C. Martin Manzano wins 50 % of the time (14 matches), M. Donald 55 % (11 matches). After losing the first set, J. C. Martin Manzano turned 11 % of matches around (18 occasions), M. Donald 22 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, J. C. Martin Manzano went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Donald 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. C. Martin Manzano – M. Donald

Who is the favourite between J. C. Martin Manzano and M. Donald?
The match is over: J. C. Martin Manzano won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Donald winning at 53 %.
When is the J. C. Martin Manzano – M. Donald match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 15:45, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Semi-final, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between J. C. Martin Manzano and M. Donald?
No meeting between J. C. Martin Manzano and M. Donald appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. C. Martin Manzano – M. Donald?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026