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M. Erhard vs P. Theate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. ErhardP. Theate
94.2 %5.8 %
Model favourite
M. Erhard
Probability
94 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Erhard

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQualifyinghard court16:35
M. Erhard
M. Erhard
vs
PT
P. Theate
1872
Elo
1492
1771
Elo on hard court
1492
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.02
Odds
12.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Erhard
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
P. Theate
  1. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
0 – 1
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
0 – 2
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
23-20 (53%)
2026 record
0-1 (0%)
18-20 (47%)
Record on hard court
–

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Erhard and P. Theate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Erhard comes in with an Elo of 1872, against 1492 for P. Theate: a 379-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 279 points in favour of M. Erhard. M. Erhard won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Theate won 3. M. Erhard has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Erhard the favourite.

The model gave M. Erhard the win at 94 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Erhard won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Erhard's last five matches

P. Theate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Erhard's first match of the tournament. This is P. Theate's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Frequently asked questions about M. Erhard – P. Theate

Who is the favourite between M. Erhard and P. Theate?
The match is over: M. Erhard won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Erhard the favourite, priced at 1.02 against 12.00 for P. Theate. Pronocast's model had M. Erhard winning at 94 %.
When is the M. Erhard – P. Theate match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 16:35, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Erhard and P. Theate?
No meeting between M. Erhard and P. Theate appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Erhard – P. Theate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026