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M. Gengel vs T. Schoolkate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. GengelT. Schoolkate
21.6 %78.4 %
Model favourite
T. Schoolkate
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · T. Schoolkate

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 32hard court11:05
M. Gengel
M. Gengel
vs
T. Schoolkate
T. Schoolkate
1851
Elo
1990
1835
Elo on hard court
1923
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
4.28
Odds
1.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Gengel
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
T. Schoolkate
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
18 – 11
4 losses
Current streak
1 loss
16-7 (70%)
2026 record
27-23 (54%)
57-57 (50%)
Record on hard court
118-101 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Gengel and T. Schoolkate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Schoolkate comes in with an Elo of 1990, against 1851 for M. Gengel: a 139-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 88 points in favour of T. Schoolkate. M. Gengel won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Schoolkate won 7. M. Gengel has one win in the last five matches. T. Schoolkate has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Schoolkate leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite.

The model gave T. Schoolkate the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Schoolkate won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Gengel's last five matches

T. Schoolkate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Schoolkate leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Gengel's first match of the tournament. This is T. Schoolkate's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Gengel wins 41 % (17 of 41), T. Schoolkate 49 % (72 of 148). In deciding sets, M. Gengel wins 57 % of the time (46 matches), T. Schoolkate 59 % (94 matches). After losing the first set, M. Gengel turned 19 % of matches around (78 occasions), T. Schoolkate 26 % (143 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Gengel went on to win 79 % of matches, T. Schoolkate 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Gengel – T. Schoolkate

Who is the favourite between M. Gengel and T. Schoolkate?
The match is over: T. Schoolkate won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 4.28 for M. Gengel. Pronocast's model had T. Schoolkate winning at 78 %.
When is the M. Gengel – T. Schoolkate match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 11:05, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Gengel and T. Schoolkate?
Since 2020, T. Schoolkate leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Gengel – T. Schoolkate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026