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M. Gonzalez Fernandez vs M. Topo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. Gonzalez FernandezM. Topo
27.8 %72.2 %
Model favourite
M. Topo
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Topo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court15:00
M. Gonzalez Fernandez
M. Gonzalez Fernandez
vs
M. Topo
M. Topo
1589
Elo
1857
1595
Elo on hard court
1863
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.25
Odds
1.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Gonzalez Fernandez
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
M. Topo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
7-13 (35%)
2026 record
10-19 (34%)
7-12 (37%)
Record on hard court
17-20 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Gonzalez Fernandez and M. Topo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Topo comes in with an Elo of 1857, against 1589 for M. Gonzalez Fernandez: a 268-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 268 points in favour of M. Topo. M. Gonzalez Fernandez won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Topo won 7. M. Gonzalez Fernandez has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Topo has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Topo the favourite.

The model gave M. Topo the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Topo won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Gonzalez Fernandez's last five matches

M. Topo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Gonzalez Fernandez's first match of the tournament. This is M. Topo's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Gonzalez Fernandez turned 11 % of matches around (18 occasions), M. Topo 16 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Gonzalez Fernandez went on to win 58 % of matches, M. Topo 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Gonzalez Fernandez – M. Topo

Who is the favourite between M. Gonzalez Fernandez and M. Topo?
The match is over: M. Topo won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Topo the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.25 for M. Gonzalez Fernandez. Pronocast's model had M. Topo winning at 72 %.
When is the M. Gonzalez Fernandez – M. Topo match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 15:00, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Gonzalez Fernandez and M. Topo?
No meeting between M. Gonzalez Fernandez and M. Topo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Gonzalez Fernandez – M. Topo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026