M. H. Rehberg vs H. Barton prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. H. RehbergH. Barton
54.9 %45.1 %
Model favourite
M. H. Rehberg
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · H. Barton

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 16clay15:40
vs
H. Barton
H. Barton
2015
Elo
1917
1991
Elo on clay
1896
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.68
Odds
1.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. H. Rehberg
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
H. Barton
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
27-19 (59%)
2026 record
36-26 (58%)
50-50 (50%)
Record on clay
77-52 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. H. Rehberg and H. Barton, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. H. Rehberg comes in with an Elo of 2015, against 1917 for H. Barton: a 98-point edge. On clay, the gap is 95 points in favour of M. H. Rehberg. M. H. Rehberg won 8 of the last ten matches, H. Barton won 5. M. H. Rehberg has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Barton has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. H. Rehberg leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. H. Rehberg the favourite.

The model gave M. H. Rehberg the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Barton won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. H. Rehberg's last five matches

H. Barton's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. H. Rehberg leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. H. Rehberg beat D. Cukierman (6-7 6-3 6-3), then M. Poljicak (5-7 6-3 6-3), then E. Butvilas (1-6 6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. H. Rehberg wins 50 % (37 of 74), H. Barton 47 % (27 of 57). In deciding sets, M. H. Rehberg wins 47 % of the time (55 matches), H. Barton 56 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, M. H. Rehberg turned 21 % of matches around (77 occasions), H. Barton 25 % (72 occasions). After winning the first set, M. H. Rehberg went on to win 82 % of matches, H. Barton 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. H. Rehberg – H. Barton

Who is the favourite between M. H. Rehberg and H. Barton?
The match is over: H. Barton won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. H. Rehberg the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 1.99 for H. Barton. Pronocast's model had M. H. Rehberg winning at 55 %.
When is the M. H. Rehberg – H. Barton match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 15:40, at the Villena tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. H. Rehberg and H. Barton?
Since 2020, M. H. Rehberg leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. H. Rehberg – H. Barton?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026