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M. Joint vs S. Kraus prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. JointS. Kraus
71.8 %28.2 %
Model favourite
M. Joint
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · S. Kraus

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 128hard court05:10
M. Joint
M. Joint
vs
S. Kraus
S. Kraus
2078
Elo
2090
2034
Elo on hard court
1905
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.24
Odds
3.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Joint
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
S. Kraus
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
14-23 (38%)
2026 record
36-23 (61%)
58-44 (57%)
Record on hard court
20-26 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Joint and S. Kraus, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2078 against 2090): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 130 points in favour of M. Joint. M. Joint won 6 of the last ten matches, S. Kraus won 5. M. Joint has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Kraus has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite.

The model gave M. Joint the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Kraus won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Joint's last five matches

S. Kraus's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Joint's first match of the tournament. This is S. Kraus's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Joint wins 63 % (20 of 32), S. Kraus 45 % (13 of 29). In deciding sets, M. Joint wins 57 % of the time (51 matches), S. Kraus 61 % (41 matches). After losing the first set, M. Joint turned 24 % of matches around (59 occasions), S. Kraus 16 % (75 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Joint went on to win 80 % of matches, S. Kraus 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Joint – S. Kraus

Who is the favourite between M. Joint and S. Kraus?
The match is over: S. Kraus won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Joint the favourite, priced at 1.24 against 3.22 for S. Kraus. Pronocast's model had M. Joint winning at 72 %.
When is the M. Joint – S. Kraus match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 05:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Joint and S. Kraus?
No meeting between M. Joint and S. Kraus appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Joint – S. Kraus?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026