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M. Krueger vs K. Smith prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. KruegerK. Smith
46.8 %53.2 %
Model favourite
K. Smith
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · M. Krueger

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusQuarter-finalhard court17:10
M. Krueger
M. Krueger
vs
K. Smith
K. Smith
1861
Elo
1913
1839
Elo on hard court
1878
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.98
Odds
1.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Krueger
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
K. Smith
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
12-19 (39%)
2026 record
31-23 (57%)
120-119 (50%)
Record on hard court
86-75 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Krueger and K. Smith, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Smith comes in with an Elo of 1913, against 1861 for M. Krueger: a 52-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 39 points in favour of K. Smith. M. Krueger won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Smith won 5. M. Krueger has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Smith has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite.

The model gave K. Smith the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Krueger won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Krueger's last five matches

K. Smith's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Krueger beat T. Zink (7-6 6-3), then S. Kozlov (6-2 3-6 6-3). To reach this round, K. Smith beat K. Bigun (4-6 7-6 6-2), then B. Nakashima (6-4 3-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Krueger wins 40 % (53 of 134), K. Smith 48 % (41 of 85). In deciding sets, M. Krueger wins 50 % of the time (104 matches), K. Smith 51 % (59 matches). After losing the first set, M. Krueger turned 17 % of matches around (157 occasions), K. Smith 16 % (79 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Krueger went on to win 84 % of matches, K. Smith 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Krueger – K. Smith

Who is the favourite between M. Krueger and K. Smith?
The match is over: M. Krueger won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 1.98 for M. Krueger. Pronocast's model had K. Smith winning at 53 %.
When is the M. Krueger – K. Smith match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 17:10, at the Columbus tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Krueger and K. Smith?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Krueger – K. Smith?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026