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M. Moeller vs D. Michalski prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. MoellerD. Michalski
54.7 %45.3 %
Model favourite
M. Moeller
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinRound of 32clay19:45
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
vs
D. Michalski
D. Michalski
1927
Elo
1899
1856
Elo on clay
1875
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.75
Odds
1.96

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Moeller
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
D. Michalski
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
3 – 7
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
19-10 (66%)
2026 record
15-19 (44%)
41-34 (55%)
Record on clay
73-81 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Moeller and D. Michalski, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Moeller comes in with an Elo of 1927, against 1899 for D. Michalski: a 28-point edge. On clay, the gap is 19 points in favour of D. Michalski. M. Moeller won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Michalski won 9. M. Moeller has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Michalski has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite.

The model gave M. Moeller the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

D. Michalski's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Moeller's first match of the tournament. This is D. Michalski's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Moeller wins 70 % (23 of 33), D. Michalski 57 % (29 of 51). In deciding sets, M. Moeller wins 54 % of the time (35 matches), D. Michalski 52 % (64 matches). After losing the first set, M. Moeller turned 20 % of matches around (46 occasions), D. Michalski 16 % (101 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Moeller went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Michalski 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Moeller – D. Michalski

Who is the favourite between M. Moeller and D. Michalski?
The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.96 for D. Michalski. Pronocast's model had M. Moeller winning at 55 %.
When is the M. Moeller – D. Michalski match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 19:45, at the Szczecin tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Moeller and D. Michalski?
No meeting between M. Moeller and D. Michalski appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Moeller – D. Michalski?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026