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M. Moeller vs F. Arnaboldi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. MoellerF. Arnaboldi
71.1 %28.9 %
Model favourite
M. Moeller
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationRound of 1613:30
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
vs
F. Arnaboldi
F. Arnaboldi
1945
Elo
1752
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Moeller
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
F. Arnaboldi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
21-11 (66%)
2026 record
15-19 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Moeller and F. Arnaboldi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Moeller comes in with an Elo of 1945, against 1752 for F. Arnaboldi: a 193-point edge. M. Moeller won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Arnaboldi won 4. M. Moeller has 2 wins in the last five matches. F. Arnaboldi has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Arnaboldi leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Moeller the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

F. Arnaboldi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Arnaboldi leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Moeller beat S. Travaglia (6-4 4-6 6-2). To reach this round, F. Arnaboldi beat F. Broska (6-1 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Moeller wins 69 % (24 of 35), F. Arnaboldi 58 % (21 of 36). In deciding sets, M. Moeller wins 54 % of the time (37 matches), F. Arnaboldi 53 % (49 matches). After losing the first set, M. Moeller turned 19 % of matches around (47 occasions), F. Arnaboldi 12 % (83 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Moeller went on to win 86 % of matches, F. Arnaboldi 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Moeller – F. Arnaboldi

Who is the favourite between M. Moeller and F. Arnaboldi?
The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Moeller winning at 71 %.
When is the M. Moeller – F. Arnaboldi match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 13:30, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Moeller and F. Arnaboldi?
Since 2020, F. Arnaboldi leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Moeller – F. Arnaboldi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026