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M. Mrva vs F. Maestrelli prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. Mrva winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
M. Mrva
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerOlbiaRound of 16hard court11:00
MM
M. Mrva
vs
F. Maestrelli
F. Maestrelli

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Mrva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
F. Maestrelli
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
29-22 (57%)
2026 record
17-27 (39%)
6-3 (67%)
Record on hard court
67-58 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Mrva and F. Maestrelli, before this match.

Recent matches

M. Mrva's last five matches

F. Maestrelli's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Mrva's first match of the tournament. This is F. Maestrelli's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. van Assche, who beat P. Carreno-Busta in the final (7-6 6-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Mrva wins 47 % (7 of 15), F. Maestrelli 54 % (60 of 112). In deciding sets, M. Mrva wins 61 % of the time (23 matches), F. Maestrelli 54 % (109 matches). After losing the first set, M. Mrva turned 29 % of matches around (28 occasions), F. Maestrelli 23 % (168 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Mrva went on to win 92 % of matches, F. Maestrelli 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Mrva – F. Maestrelli

Who is the favourite between M. Mrva and F. Maestrelli?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has M. Mrva winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the M. Mrva – F. Maestrelli match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 11:00, at the Olbia tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Mrva and F. Maestrelli?
No meeting between M. Mrva and F. Maestrelli appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Mrva – F. Maestrelli?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Olbia

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026