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M. Petkovic vs T. Monteiro prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. PetkovicT. Monteiro
25.7 %74.3 %
Model favourite
T. Monteiro
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Petkovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3214:40
M. Petkovic
M. Petkovic
vs
T. Monteiro
T. Monteiro
1742
Elo
2040
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
7
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.39
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Petkovic
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
T. Monteiro
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
7 – 3
8 – 17
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
12-14 (46%)
2026 record
33-17 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Petkovic and T. Monteiro, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Monteiro comes in with an Elo of 2040, against 1742 for M. Petkovic: a 298-point edge. M. Petkovic won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Monteiro won 7. M. Petkovic has one win in the last five matches. T. Monteiro has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Monteiro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Monteiro the favourite.

The model gave T. Monteiro the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Petkovic won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Petkovic's last five matches

T. Monteiro's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Monteiro leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Petkovic's first match of the tournament. This is T. Monteiro's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Petkovic wins 42 % (5 of 12), T. Monteiro 52 % (92 of 177). In deciding sets, M. Petkovic wins 30 % of the time (10 matches), T. Monteiro 56 % (145 matches). After losing the first set, M. Petkovic turned 13 % of matches around (16 occasions), T. Monteiro 30 % (158 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Petkovic went on to win 75 % of matches, T. Monteiro 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Petkovic – T. Monteiro

Who is the favourite between M. Petkovic and T. Monteiro?
The match is over: M. Petkovic won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Monteiro the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.39 for M. Petkovic. Pronocast's model had T. Monteiro winning at 74 %.
When is the M. Petkovic – T. Monteiro match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 14:40, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between M. Petkovic and T. Monteiro?
Since 2020, T. Monteiro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Petkovic – T. Monteiro?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026