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M. Ribecai vs T. Droguet prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. RibecaiT. Droguet
19.3 %80.7 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 32hard court17:30
M. Ribecai
M. Ribecai
vs
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
1858
Elo
2177
1806
Elo on hard court
2079
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.34
Odds
1.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Ribecai
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
T. Droguet
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
2 losses
Current streak
5 wins
26-25 (51%)
2026 record
41-19 (68%)
17-13 (57%)
Record on hard court
78-54 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Ribecai and T. Droguet, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2177, against 1858 for M. Ribecai: a 319-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 273 points in favour of T. Droguet. M. Ribecai won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Droguet won 7. M. Ribecai has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Droguet has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Ribecai's last five matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Ribecai's first match of the tournament. This is T. Droguet's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Ribecai wins 50 % (7 of 14), T. Droguet 56 % (62 of 110). In deciding sets, M. Ribecai wins 28 % of the time (25 matches), T. Droguet 59 % (101 matches). After losing the first set, M. Ribecai turned 23 % of matches around (22 occasions), T. Droguet 28 % (113 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Ribecai went on to win 68 % of matches, T. Droguet 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Ribecai – T. Droguet

Who is the favourite between M. Ribecai and T. Droguet?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 4.34 for M. Ribecai. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 81 %.
When is the M. Ribecai – T. Droguet match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 17:30, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Ribecai and T. Droguet?
No meeting between M. Ribecai and T. Droguet appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Ribecai – T. Droguet?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026