M. Sakkari vs E. Svitolina prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Correct prediction- Model favourite
- E. Svitolina
- Probability
- 73 %
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Exact score
- Actual score
- 0-2 · E. Svitolina
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 2214
- Elo
- 2432
- 2154
- Elo on hard court
- 2344
- 6 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 6 / 10
- 4
- Recent matches
- 4
- –
- Head-to-head
- Edge
- 3.52
- Odds
- 1.29
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- 6 – 4
- Wins – losses
- 6 – 4
- 15 – 10
- Sets won – lost
- 15 – 12
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 1 win
- 23-19 (55%)
- 2026 record
- 43-15 (74%)
- 113-78 (59%)
- Record on hard court
- 82-45 (65%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
E. Svitolina comes in with an Elo of 2432, against 2214 for M. Sakkari: a 217-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 190 points in favour of E. Svitolina. M. Sakkari won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Svitolina won 6. M. Sakkari has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Svitolina has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite.
The model gave E. Svitolina the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Svitolina won 2-0: prediction correct.
Recent matches
M. Sakkari's last five matches
- VS. HunterBeijing 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 October 20266-2 6-2
- DT. GibsonSingapore 2026 · Quarter-final · 25 September 20261-6 6-4 2-6
- VN. HibinoSingapore 2026 · Round of 16 · 24 September 20267-5 6-1
- VL. FruhvirtovaSingapore 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20266-4 6-1
- DY. StarodubtsevaUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 4 September 20266-1 6-7 2-6
E. Svitolina's last five matches
- VK. SiniakovaBeijing 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 October 20261-6 6-4 6-2
- DL. NoskovaWTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group 2026 · 27 September 20263-6 6-7
- VJ. PaoliniWTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group 2026 · 26 September 20266-2 6-2
- DG. MinnenWTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group 2026 · 24 September 20267-6 4-6 4-6
- DA. KalinskayaUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20263-6 6-2 3-6
Head-to-head since 2020
E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0- DE. SvitolinaMadrid 2025 · Round of 16 · 29 April 20253-6 4-6
- DE. SvitolinaOlympic Games 2020 · Round of 16 · 27 July 20217-5 3-6 4-6
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, M. Sakkari beat S. Hunter (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, E. Svitolina beat K. Siniakova (1-6 6-4 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, M. Sakkari wins 45 % (31 of 69), E. Svitolina 54 % (37 of 69). In deciding sets, M. Sakkari wins 51 % of the time (81 matches), E. Svitolina 60 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, M. Sakkari turned 18 % of matches around (117 occasions), E. Svitolina 36 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Sakkari went on to win 86 % of matches, E. Svitolina 87 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina
- Who is the favourite between M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina?
- The match is over: E. Svitolina won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.52 for M. Sakkari. Pronocast's model had E. Svitolina winning at 73 %.
- When is the M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina match?
- On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina?
- Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Beijing
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