M. Sakkari vs E. Svitolina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. SakkariE. Svitolina
26.9 %73.1 %
Model favourite
E. Svitolina
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · E. Svitolina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court11:10
M. Sakkari
M. Sakkari
vs
E. Svitolina
E. Svitolina
2214
Elo
2432
2154
Elo on hard court
2344
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.52
Odds
1.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Sakkari
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Svitolina
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
23-19 (55%)
2026 record
43-15 (74%)
113-78 (59%)
Record on hard court
82-45 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Svitolina comes in with an Elo of 2432, against 2214 for M. Sakkari: a 217-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 190 points in favour of E. Svitolina. M. Sakkari won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Svitolina won 6. M. Sakkari has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Svitolina has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite.

The model gave E. Svitolina the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Svitolina won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Sakkari's last five matches

E. Svitolina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Sakkari beat S. Hunter (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, E. Svitolina beat K. Siniakova (1-6 6-4 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Sakkari wins 45 % (31 of 69), E. Svitolina 54 % (37 of 69). In deciding sets, M. Sakkari wins 51 % of the time (81 matches), E. Svitolina 60 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, M. Sakkari turned 18 % of matches around (117 occasions), E. Svitolina 36 % (90 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Sakkari went on to win 86 % of matches, E. Svitolina 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina

Who is the favourite between M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina?
The match is over: E. Svitolina won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Svitolina the favourite, priced at 1.29 against 3.52 for M. Sakkari. Pronocast's model had E. Svitolina winning at 73 %.
When is the M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Sakkari and E. Svitolina?
Since 2020, E. Svitolina leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Sakkari – E. Svitolina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026