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M. Trevisan vs C. Burel prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Result not verified
M. TrevisanC. Burel
29.9 %70.1 %
Model favourite
C. Burel
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
C. Burel

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerValenciaRound of 16clay12:40
M. Trevisan
M. Trevisan
vs
C. Burel
C. Burel
1944
Elo
2049
1966
Elo on clay
2037
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
9
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.98
Odds
1.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Trevisan
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
C. Burel
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
10-11 (48%)
2026 record
8-8 (50%)
45-40 (53%)
Record on clay
40-38 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Trevisan and C. Burel, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Burel comes in with an Elo of 2049, against 1944 for M. Trevisan: a 104-point edge. On clay, the gap is 71 points in favour of C. Burel. M. Trevisan won 7 of the last ten matches, C. Burel won 7. M. Trevisan has 4 wins in the last five matches. C. Burel has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make C. Burel the favourite.

The model gave C. Burel the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. Burel won : prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Trevisan's last five matches

C. Burel's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Trevisan beat L. Romero Gormaz (1-6 6-2 6-4). To reach this round, C. Burel beat A. Teixido Garcia (7-6 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Parrizas-Diaz, who beat L. Chirico in the final (7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Trevisan wins 50 % (19 of 38), C. Burel 53 % (23 of 43). In deciding sets, M. Trevisan wins 46 % of the time (63 matches), C. Burel 58 % (69 matches). After losing the first set, M. Trevisan turned 17 % of matches around (103 occasions), C. Burel 28 % (88 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Trevisan went on to win 79 % of matches, C. Burel 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Trevisan – C. Burel

Who is the favourite between M. Trevisan and C. Burel?
The match is over: C. Burel won. Bookmakers make C. Burel the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.98 for M. Trevisan. Pronocast's model had C. Burel winning at 70 %.
When is the M. Trevisan – C. Burel match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 12:40, at the Valencia tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Trevisan and C. Burel?
No meeting between M. Trevisan and C. Burel appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Trevisan – C. Burel?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Valencia

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026