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M. Trevisan vs G. Maristany prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TrevisanG. Maristany
49.7 %50.3 %
Model favourite
G. Maristany
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · G. Maristany

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerMontreuxRound of 16clay17:15
M. Trevisan
M. Trevisan
vs
G. Maristany
G. Maristany
1942
Elo
1980
1966
Elo on clay
1963
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.04
Odds
1.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Trevisan
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
G. Maristany
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
9-10 (47%)
2026 record
13-11 (54%)
44-39 (53%)
Record on clay
22-28 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Trevisan and G. Maristany, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Maristany comes in with an Elo of 1980, against 1942 for M. Trevisan: a 39-point edge. M. Trevisan won 7 of the last ten matches, G. Maristany won 5. M. Trevisan has 4 wins in the last five matches. G. Maristany has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite.

The model gave G. Maristany the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Maristany won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Trevisan's last five matches

G. Maristany's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Trevisan beat J. Stusek (6-1 6-0), then E. Bonelli (6-0 6-1), then J. Ruggeri (7-5 0-6 6-4). To reach this round, G. Maristany beat M. Bassols (6-2 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Chwalinska, who beat D. Semenistaja in the final (6-1 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Trevisan wins 51 % (19 of 37), G. Maristany 38 % (5 of 13). In deciding sets, M. Trevisan wins 46 % of the time (61 matches), G. Maristany 53 % (19 matches). After losing the first set, M. Trevisan turned 17 % of matches around (101 occasions), G. Maristany 9 % (33 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Trevisan went on to win 79 % of matches, G. Maristany 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Trevisan – G. Maristany

Who is the favourite between M. Trevisan and G. Maristany?
The match is over: G. Maristany won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Maristany the favourite, priced at 1.72 against 2.04 for M. Trevisan. Pronocast's model had G. Maristany winning at 50 %.
When is the M. Trevisan – G. Maristany match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 17:15, at the Montreux tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Trevisan and G. Maristany?
No meeting between M. Trevisan and G. Maristany appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Trevisan – G. Maristany?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Montreux

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026