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D. Galfi vs F. Ferro prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. GalfiF. Ferro
42.8 %57.2 %
Model favourite
F. Ferro
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · F. Ferro

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerMontreuxSemi-finalclay16:55
D. Galfi
D. Galfi
vs
F. Ferro
F. Ferro
2020
Elo
2119
2071
Elo on clay
2112
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
8
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.27
Odds
1.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Galfi
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
F. Ferro
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
6 – 15
Sets won – lost
16 – 6
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
17-21 (45%)
2026 record
22-13 (63%)
49-43 (53%)
Record on clay
39-38 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Galfi and F. Ferro, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Ferro comes in with an Elo of 2119, against 2020 for D. Galfi: a 99-point edge. On clay, the gap is 41 points in favour of F. Ferro. D. Galfi won 3 of the last ten matches, F. Ferro won 8. D. Galfi has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Ferro has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Ferro the favourite.

The model gave F. Ferro the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Ferro won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Galfi's last five matches

F. Ferro's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Galfi beat V. Ryser (6-4 6-3), then N. Brancaccio (4-6 6-1 7-6), then S. Waltert (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, F. Ferro beat M. Barthel (6-3 6-4), then B. Palicova (6-4 6-4), then L. Havlickova (6-4 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Chwalinska, who beat D. Semenistaja in the final (6-1 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Galfi wins 41 % (28 of 68), F. Ferro 40 % (10 of 25). In deciding sets, D. Galfi wins 54 % of the time (72 matches), F. Ferro 51 % (47 matches). After losing the first set, D. Galfi turned 23 % of matches around (111 occasions), F. Ferro 16 % (73 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Galfi went on to win 85 % of matches, F. Ferro 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Galfi – F. Ferro

Who is the favourite between D. Galfi and F. Ferro?
The match is over: F. Ferro won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Ferro the favourite, priced at 1.58 against 2.27 for D. Galfi. Pronocast's model had F. Ferro winning at 57 %.
When is the D. Galfi – F. Ferro match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 16:55, at the Montreux tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between D. Galfi and F. Ferro?
No meeting between D. Galfi and F. Ferro appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Galfi – F. Ferro?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Montreux

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026