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Dar. Blanch vs B. Nakashima prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Dar. BlanchB. Nakashima
64.3 %35.7 %
Model favourite
Dar. Blanch
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · Dar. Blanch

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQuarter-finalhard court21:10
Dar. Blanch
Dar. Blanch
vs
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
1937
Elo
1894
1834
Elo on hard court
1881
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.45
Odds
2.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Dar. Blanch
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
2 – 8
Wins – losses
5 – 4
6 – 18
Sets won – lost
10 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
4 wins
22-24 (48%)
2026 record
4-1 (80%)
24-27 (47%)
Record on hard court
5-4 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Dar. Blanch and B. Nakashima, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Dar. Blanch comes in with an Elo of 1937, against 1894 for B. Nakashima: a 43-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 46 points in favour of B. Nakashima. Dar. Blanch won 2 of the last ten matches, B. Nakashima won 9. Dar. Blanch has 2 wins in the last five matches. B. Nakashima has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Dar. Blanch the favourite.

The model gave Dar. Blanch the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Dar. Blanch won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Dar. Blanch's last five matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Dar. Blanch beat S. Kozlov (6-3 2-6 7-6), then F. A. Gomez (6-3 6-0). To reach this round, B. Nakashima beat K. Bigun (7-5 6-0), then Q. Vandecasteele (6-2 6-4), then A. Ilagan (7-5 6-7 7-6), then T. Legout (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about Dar. Blanch – B. Nakashima

Who is the favourite between Dar. Blanch and B. Nakashima?
The match is over: Dar. Blanch won 2-0. Bookmakers make Dar. Blanch the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.36 for B. Nakashima. Pronocast's model had Dar. Blanch winning at 64 %.
When is the Dar. Blanch – B. Nakashima match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 21:10, at the Tiburon tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Dar. Blanch and B. Nakashima?
No meeting between Dar. Blanch and B. Nakashima appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Dar. Blanch – B. Nakashima?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026