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O. Tarvet vs L. Djere prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
O. TarvetL. Djere
56.2 %43.8 %
Model favourite
O. Tarvet
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · L. Djere

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 16clay13:20
O. Tarvet
O. Tarvet
vs
L. Djere
L. Djere
2131
Elo
2071
2193
Elo on clay
2150
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.60
Odds
2.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Tarvet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Djere
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
19 – 5
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
16-5 (76%)
2026 record
27-16 (63%)
3-0 (100%)
Record on clay
101-57 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Tarvet and L. Djere, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Tarvet comes in with an Elo of 2131, against 2071 for L. Djere: a 60-point edge. On clay, the gap is 42 points in favour of O. Tarvet. O. Tarvet won 9 of the last ten matches, L. Djere won 6. O. Tarvet has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Djere has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make O. Tarvet the favourite.

The model gave O. Tarvet the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Djere won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

O. Tarvet's last five matches

L. Djere's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, O. Tarvet beat M. Erhard (6-4 6-3), then D. Dedura (6-3 7-5), then F. Maestrelli (4-6 6-3 6-4). To reach this round, L. Djere beat D. Stricker (6-1 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, O. Tarvet wins 40 % (4 of 10), L. Djere 42 % (59 of 139). In deciding sets, O. Tarvet wins 55 % of the time (11 matches), L. Djere 46 % (96 matches). After losing the first set, O. Tarvet turned 21 % of matches around (14 occasions), L. Djere 19 % (118 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Tarvet went on to win 91 % of matches, L. Djere 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Tarvet – L. Djere

Who is the favourite between O. Tarvet and L. Djere?
The match is over: L. Djere won 2-0. Bookmakers make O. Tarvet the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.18 for L. Djere. Pronocast's model had O. Tarvet winning at 56 %.
When is the O. Tarvet – L. Djere match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 13:20, at the Villena tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between O. Tarvet and L. Djere?
No meeting between O. Tarvet and L. Djere appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Tarvet – L. Djere?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026