O. Virtanen vs T. Pereira prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
O. VirtanenT. Pereira
72.0 %28.0 %
Model favourite
O. Virtanen
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · T. Pereira

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court15:10
O. Virtanen
O. Virtanen
vs
T. Pereira
T. Pereira
2066
Elo
1776
1992
Elo on hard court
1793
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.31
Odds
3.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Virtanen
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
T. Pereira
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
31-22 (58%)
2026 record
11-22 (33%)
90-67 (57%)
Record on hard court
10-13 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Virtanen and T. Pereira, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Virtanen comes in with an Elo of 2066, against 1776 for T. Pereira: a 290-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 199 points in favour of O. Virtanen. O. Virtanen won 5 of the last ten matches, T. Pereira won 5. O. Virtanen has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Pereira has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make O. Virtanen the favourite.

The model gave O. Virtanen the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Pereira won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

O. Virtanen's last five matches

T. Pereira's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is O. Virtanen's first match of the tournament. This is T. Pereira's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, O. Virtanen wins 54 % (86 of 159), T. Pereira 36 % (10 of 28). In deciding sets, O. Virtanen wins 50 % of the time (113 matches), T. Pereira 44 % (43 matches). After losing the first set, O. Virtanen turned 22 % of matches around (125 occasions), T. Pereira 13 % (54 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Virtanen went on to win 81 % of matches, T. Pereira 62 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Virtanen – T. Pereira

Who is the favourite between O. Virtanen and T. Pereira?
The match is over: T. Pereira won 2-1. Bookmakers make O. Virtanen the favourite, priced at 1.31 against 3.35 for T. Pereira. Pronocast's model had O. Virtanen winning at 72 %.
When is the O. Virtanen – T. Pereira match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between O. Virtanen and T. Pereira?
No meeting between O. Virtanen and T. Pereira appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Virtanen – T. Pereira?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026