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P. Carreno-Busta vs F. Auger-Aliassime prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has F. Auger-Aliassime winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
F. Auger-Aliassime
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPShanghaihard court04:00Time to be confirmed
P. Carreno-Busta
P. Carreno-Busta
vs
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Auger-Aliassime

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Carreno-Busta
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
F. Auger-Aliassime
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
17 – 15
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
28-18 (61%)
2026 record
34-16 (68%)
75-52 (59%)
Record on hard court
152-79 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Carreno-Busta and F. Auger-Aliassime, before this match.

Recent matches

P. Carreno-Busta's last five matches

F. Auger-Aliassime's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Auger-Aliassime leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Carreno-Busta beat M. Navone (4-6 7-5 6-3). This is F. Auger-Aliassime's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Carreno-Busta wins 56 % (55 of 99), F. Auger-Aliassime 61 % (126 of 208). In deciding sets, P. Carreno-Busta wins 49 % of the time (89 matches), F. Auger-Aliassime 62 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, P. Carreno-Busta turned 23 % of matches around (90 occasions), F. Auger-Aliassime 32 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Carreno-Busta went on to win 81 % of matches, F. Auger-Aliassime 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Carreno-Busta – F. Auger-Aliassime

Who is the favourite between P. Carreno-Busta and F. Auger-Aliassime?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has F. Auger-Aliassime winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the P. Carreno-Busta – F. Auger-Aliassime match?
On Monday, 12 October 2026, at the Shanghai tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between P. Carreno-Busta and F. Auger-Aliassime?
Since 2020, F. Auger-Aliassime leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Carreno-Busta – F. Auger-Aliassime?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 October 2026

All matches on 12 October 2026