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P. Nesterov vs G. Tabacco prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. NesterovG. Tabacco
68.6 %31.4 %
Model favourite
P. Nesterov
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · P. Nesterov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court14:05
P. Nesterov
P. Nesterov
vs
G. Tabacco
G. Tabacco
1885
Elo
1721
1821
Elo on hard court
1687
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Nesterov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
G. Tabacco
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 10
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
22-14 (61%)
2026 record
8-7 (53%)
8-6 (57%)
Record on hard court
–

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Nesterov and G. Tabacco, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Nesterov comes in with an Elo of 1885, against 1721 for G. Tabacco: a 164-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 134 points in favour of P. Nesterov. P. Nesterov won 6 of the last ten matches, G. Tabacco won 6. P. Nesterov has 2 wins in the last five matches. G. Tabacco has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave P. Nesterov the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Nesterov won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Nesterov's last five matches

G. Tabacco's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Nesterov's first match of the tournament. This is G. Tabacco's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, P. Nesterov turned 19 % of matches around (37 occasions), G. Tabacco 13 % (16 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Nesterov went on to win 89 % of matches, G. Tabacco 69 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Nesterov – G. Tabacco

Who is the favourite between P. Nesterov and G. Tabacco?
The match is over: P. Nesterov won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had P. Nesterov winning at 69 %.
When is the P. Nesterov – G. Tabacco match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 14:05, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Nesterov and G. Tabacco?
No meeting between P. Nesterov and G. Tabacco appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Nesterov – G. Tabacco?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026