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P. Zahraj vs K. Poling prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. ZahrajK. Poling
61.9 %38.1 %
Model favourite
P. Zahraj
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · P. Zahraj

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifQualifyinghard court10:05
P. Zahraj
P. Zahraj
vs
K. Poling
K. Poling
1698
Elo
1710
1629
Elo on hard court
1696
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.52
Odds
2.29

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Zahraj
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
K. Poling
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
2 – 8
6 – 17
Sets won – lost
9 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
9-21 (30%)
2026 record
14-18 (44%)
39-36 (52%)
Record on hard court
26-30 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Zahraj and K. Poling, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1698 against 1710): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 67 points in favour of K. Poling. P. Zahraj won 5 of the last ten matches, K. Poling won 5. P. Zahraj has 2 wins in the last five matches. K. Poling has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, P. Zahraj leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make P. Zahraj the favourite.

The model gave P. Zahraj the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Zahraj won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Zahraj's last five matches

K. Poling's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

P. Zahraj leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is P. Zahraj's first match of the tournament. This is K. Poling's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Zahraj wins 57 % (23 of 40), K. Poling 31 % (10 of 32). In deciding sets, P. Zahraj wins 46 % of the time (28 matches), K. Poling 56 % (27 matches). After losing the first set, P. Zahraj turned 11 % of matches around (61 occasions), K. Poling 24 % (41 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Zahraj went on to win 89 % of matches, K. Poling 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Zahraj – K. Poling

Who is the favourite between P. Zahraj and K. Poling?
The match is over: P. Zahraj won 2-1. Bookmakers make P. Zahraj the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.29 for K. Poling. Pronocast's model had P. Zahraj winning at 62 %.
When is the P. Zahraj – K. Poling match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 10:05, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Zahraj and K. Poling?
Since 2020, P. Zahraj leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Zahraj – K. Poling?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026