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R. Noguchi vs A. Muller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. NoguchiA. Muller
35.5 %64.5 %
Model favourite
A. Muller
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Muller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court12:05
R. Noguchi
R. Noguchi
vs
A. Muller
A. Muller
1888
Elo
1985
1874
Elo on hard court
1920
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.70
Odds
1.41

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Noguchi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Muller
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
31-22 (58%)
2026 record
17-23 (43%)
114-98 (54%)
Record on hard court
84-83 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Noguchi and A. Muller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Muller comes in with an Elo of 1985, against 1888 for R. Noguchi: a 97-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 46 points in favour of A. Muller. R. Noguchi won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Muller won 6. R. Noguchi has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Muller has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Muller the favourite.

The model gave A. Muller the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Muller won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Noguchi's last five matches

A. Muller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is R. Noguchi's first match of the tournament. This is A. Muller's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Noguchi wins 46 % (33 of 71), A. Muller 50 % (74 of 149). In deciding sets, R. Noguchi wins 60 % of the time (73 matches), A. Muller 60 % (111 matches). After losing the first set, R. Noguchi turned 23 % of matches around (139 occasions), A. Muller 23 % (183 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Noguchi went on to win 86 % of matches, A. Muller 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Noguchi – A. Muller

Who is the favourite between R. Noguchi and A. Muller?
The match is over: A. Muller won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Muller the favourite, priced at 1.41 against 2.70 for R. Noguchi. Pronocast's model had A. Muller winning at 65 %.
When is the R. Noguchi – A. Muller match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 12:05, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Noguchi and A. Muller?
No meeting between R. Noguchi and A. Muller appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Noguchi – A. Muller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026