R. Strombachs vs L. Mikrut prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. StrombachsL. Mikrut
18.8 %81.2 %
Model favourite
L. Mikrut
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Mikrut

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinRound of 32clay12:05
vs
L. Mikrut
L. Mikrut
1759
Elo
2001
1638
Elo on clay
2104
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.31
Odds
1.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Strombachs
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
L. Mikrut
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
10 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
8-11 (42%)
2026 record
9-8 (53%)
22-29 (43%)
Record on clay
48-29 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Strombachs and L. Mikrut, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Mikrut comes in with an Elo of 2001, against 1759 for R. Strombachs: a 242-point edge. On clay, the gap is 466 points in favour of L. Mikrut. R. Strombachs won 7 of the last ten matches, L. Mikrut won 6. R. Strombachs has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Mikrut has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite.

The model gave L. Mikrut the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Mikrut won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Strombachs's last five matches

L. Mikrut's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Strombachs beat Pa. Tsitsipas (6-7 7-6 6-1), then S. Rodriguez Taverna (6-0 6-2). This is L. Mikrut's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Strombachs wins 46 % (22 of 48), L. Mikrut 51 % (19 of 37). In deciding sets, R. Strombachs wins 39 % of the time (38 matches), L. Mikrut 58 % (36 matches). After losing the first set, R. Strombachs turned 7 % of matches around (54 occasions), L. Mikrut 29 % (51 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Strombachs went on to win 77 % of matches, L. Mikrut 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Strombachs – L. Mikrut

Who is the favourite between R. Strombachs and L. Mikrut?
The match is over: L. Mikrut won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.31 for R. Strombachs. Pronocast's model had L. Mikrut winning at 81 %.
When is the R. Strombachs – L. Mikrut match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 12:05, at the Szczecin tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between R. Strombachs and L. Mikrut?
No meeting between R. Strombachs and L. Mikrut appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Strombachs – L. Mikrut?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026