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S. Bejlek vs N. Osaka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. BejlekN. Osaka
29.2 %70.8 %
Model favourite
N. Osaka
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · N. Osaka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court13:10
S. Bejlek
S. Bejlek
vs
N. Osaka
N. Osaka
2232
Elo
2463
2180
Elo on hard court
2310
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.04
Odds
1.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Bejlek
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
N. Osaka
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-17 (59%)
2026 record
28-10 (74%)
34-19 (64%)
Record on hard court
70-31 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Bejlek and N. Osaka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Osaka comes in with an Elo of 2463, against 2232 for S. Bejlek: a 231-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 129 points in favour of N. Osaka. S. Bejlek won 7 of the last ten matches, N. Osaka won 7. S. Bejlek has 2 wins in the last five matches. N. Osaka has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make N. Osaka the favourite.

The model gave N. Osaka the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Osaka won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Bejlek's last five matches

N. Osaka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Bejlek beat M. Inglis (6-3 7-5). To reach this round, N. Osaka beat M. Timofeeva (6-3 3-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Bejlek wins 53 % (19 of 36), N. Osaka 52 % (24 of 46). In deciding sets, S. Bejlek wins 68 % of the time (38 matches), N. Osaka 63 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, S. Bejlek turned 23 % of matches around (62 occasions), N. Osaka 29 % (51 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Bejlek went on to win 94 % of matches, N. Osaka 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Bejlek – N. Osaka

Who is the favourite between S. Bejlek and N. Osaka?
The match is over: N. Osaka won 2-0. Bookmakers make N. Osaka the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.04 for S. Bejlek. Pronocast's model had N. Osaka winning at 71 %.
When is the S. Bejlek – N. Osaka match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Bejlek and N. Osaka?
No meeting between S. Bejlek and N. Osaka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Bejlek – N. Osaka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026