S. C. Hong vs R. Sakamoto prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

S. C. HongR. Sakamoto

38.2 %61.8 %

Model favourite: R. Sakamoto
Probability: 62 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · R. Sakamoto

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court09:30

S. C. Hong

R. Sakamoto

1939
Elo: 2040; 1875
Elo on hard court: 1979; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 0
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. C. Hong

R. Sakamoto

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 8 – 12
Sets won – lost: 15 – 12; 1 loss
Current streak: 1 loss; 1-3 (25%)
2026 record: 35-22 (61%); 81-52 (61%)
Record on hard court: 62-45 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. C. Hong and R. Sakamoto, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Sakamoto comes in with an Elo of 2040, against 1939 for S. C. Hong: a 101-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 103 points in favour of R. Sakamoto. S. C. Hong won 5 of the last ten matches, R. Sakamoto won 6. S. C. Hong has one win in the last five matches. R. Sakamoto has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave R. Sakamoto the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Sakamoto won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. C. Hong's last five matches

DT. SchoolkateUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 27 August 20264-6 6-7
VN. BasilashviliUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 26 August 20266-3 7-6
DH. RochaCancun 2 2026 · Round of 32 · 19 August 20264-6 1-6
DC. WongCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 11 August 20264-6 2-6
DY. WatanukiATP Shanghai 2024 · Qualifying · 1 October 20242-6 5-7

R. Sakamoto's last five matches

DM. ArnaldiTokyo 2026 · Round of 32 · 30 September 20266-2 4-6 4-6
VA. SheppATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 19 September 20267-5 6-4
DS. Nam JiShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20266-7 4-6
DF. TiafoeUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20263-6 6-7 5-7
VA. VukicUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-4 6-7 6-4 3-6 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. C. Hong's first match of the tournament. This is R. Sakamoto's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. C. Hong wins 58 % (25 of 43), R. Sakamoto 49 % (33 of 67). In deciding sets, S. C. Hong wins 58 % of the time (52 matches), R. Sakamoto 64 % (45 matches). After losing the first set, S. C. Hong turned 21 % of matches around (77 occasions), R. Sakamoto 26 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, S. C. Hong went on to win 87 % of matches, R. Sakamoto 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. C. Hong – R. Sakamoto

Who is the favourite between S. C. Hong and R. Sakamoto?: The match is over: R. Sakamoto won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had R. Sakamoto winning at 62 %.
When is the S. C. Hong – R. Sakamoto match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 09:30, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. C. Hong and R. Sakamoto?: No meeting between S. C. Hong and R. Sakamoto appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. C. Hong – R. Sakamoto?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions