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S. Kraus vs D. Yastremska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. KrausD. Yastremska
30.2 %69.8 %
Model favourite
D. Yastremska
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · S. Kraus

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 32hard court05:15
S. Kraus
S. Kraus
vs
D. Yastremska
D. Yastremska
2102
Elo
2139
1932
Elo on hard court
2006
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.00
Odds
1.40

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Kraus
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
D. Yastremska
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
11 – 12
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
37-23 (62%)
2026 record
18-20 (47%)
21-26 (45%)
Record on hard court
76-73 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Kraus and D. Yastremska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Yastremska comes in with an Elo of 2139, against 2102 for S. Kraus: a 37-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 74 points in favour of D. Yastremska. S. Kraus won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Yastremska won 4. S. Kraus has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Yastremska has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Yastremska the favourite.

The model gave D. Yastremska the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Kraus won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Kraus's last five matches

D. Yastremska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Kraus beat M. Joint (6-3 3-6 7-5). To reach this round, D. Yastremska beat C. McNally (6-3 6-4), then M. Chwalinska (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Kraus wins 45 % (13 of 29), D. Yastremska 60 % (49 of 81). In deciding sets, S. Kraus wins 62 % of the time (42 matches), D. Yastremska 48 % (94 matches). After losing the first set, S. Kraus turned 16 % of matches around (75 occasions), D. Yastremska 19 % (113 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Kraus went on to win 88 % of matches, D. Yastremska 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Kraus – D. Yastremska

Who is the favourite between S. Kraus and D. Yastremska?
The match is over: S. Kraus won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Yastremska the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 3.00 for S. Kraus. Pronocast's model had D. Yastremska winning at 70 %.
When is the S. Kraus – D. Yastremska match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 05:15, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Kraus and D. Yastremska?
No meeting between S. Kraus and D. Yastremska appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Kraus – D. Yastremska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026