S. Pieri vs M. Krumich prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

S. PieriM. Krumich

38.4 %61.6 %

Model favourite: M. Krumich
Probability: 62 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · M. Krumich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPalermo (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3210:10

S. Pieri

M. Krumich

1877
Elo: 1881; 7 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 5
Recent matches: 3; –
Head-to-head: Edge; 2.47
Odds: 1.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Pieri

M. Krumich

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 14 – 11
Sets won – lost: 11 – 12; 5 wins
Current streak: 1 loss; 22-20 (52%)
2026 record: 40-28 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Pieri and M. Krumich, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1877 against 1881): nothing separates them in the model's rating. S. Pieri won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Krumich won 4. S. Pieri has 5 wins in the last five matches. M. Krumich has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Krumich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite.

The model gave M. Krumich the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Krumich won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Pieri's last five matches

VJ. C. Martin ManzanoBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Final · 4 October 20266-4 6-1
VV. SachkoBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Semi-final · 3 October 20265-7 6-4 6-2
VC. TabernerBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Quarter-final · 2 October 20266-4 4-6 6-3
VL. LokoliBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 1 October 20267-6 7-6
VA. MartinBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20266-4 6-4

M. Krumich's last five matches

DM. DonaldBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Quarter-final · 2 October 20266-4 1-6 3-6
VP. BasileBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 1 October 20266-3 6-1
DT. GentzschSzczecin 2026 · Round of 16 · 16 September 20263-6 4-6
VK. KnitterSzczecin 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20266-2 6-2
DZ. KolarTulln 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20262-6 4-6

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Krumich leads 1 to 0

DM. KrumichBraunschweig 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 July 20265-7 6-4 3-6

Road through the tournament

This is S. Pieri's first match of the tournament. This is M. Krumich's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Pieri wins 50 % (6 of 12), M. Krumich 49 % (22 of 45). In deciding sets, S. Pieri wins 43 % of the time (21 matches), M. Krumich 44 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, S. Pieri turned 18 % of matches around (22 occasions), M. Krumich 22 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Pieri went on to win 75 % of matches, M. Krumich 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Pieri – M. Krumich

Who is the favourite between S. Pieri and M. Krumich?: The match is over: M. Krumich won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Krumich the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.47 for S. Pieri. Pronocast's model had M. Krumich winning at 62 %.
When is the S. Pieri – M. Krumich match?: On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 10:10, at the Palermo (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between S. Pieri and M. Krumich?: Since 2020, M. Krumich leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Pieri – M. Krumich?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions