Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

S. Travaglia vs M. Moeller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. TravagliaM. Moeller
54.4 %45.6 %
Model favourite
S. Travaglia
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGenova 2 (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3214:15
S. Travaglia
S. Travaglia
vs
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
1926
Elo
1931
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.71
Odds
2.02

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Travaglia
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. Moeller
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 14
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
25-24 (51%)
2026 record
20-11 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Travaglia and M. Moeller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1926 against 1931): nothing separates them in the model's rating. S. Travaglia won 3 of the last ten matches, M. Moeller won 5. S. Travaglia has one win in the last five matches. M. Moeller has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Travaglia the favourite.

The model gave S. Travaglia the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Travaglia's last five matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. Travaglia's first match of the tournament. This is M. Moeller's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Travaglia wins 43 % (56 of 130), M. Moeller 69 % (24 of 35). In deciding sets, S. Travaglia wins 48 % of the time (114 matches), M. Moeller 53 % (36 matches). After losing the first set, S. Travaglia turned 20 % of matches around (161 occasions), M. Moeller 19 % (47 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Travaglia went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Moeller 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Travaglia – M. Moeller

Who is the favourite between S. Travaglia and M. Moeller?
The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-1. Bookmakers make S. Travaglia the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 2.02 for M. Moeller. Pronocast's model had S. Travaglia winning at 54 %.
When is the S. Travaglia – M. Moeller match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 14:15, at the Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between S. Travaglia and M. Moeller?
No meeting between S. Travaglia and M. Moeller appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Travaglia – M. Moeller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026