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T. Atmane vs B. Tomic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. AtmaneB. Tomic
71.3 %28.7 %
Model favourite
T. Atmane
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-1 · B. Tomic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court08:25
T. Atmane
T. Atmane
vs
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
2106
Elo
1977
2053
Elo on hard court
1946
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.32
Odds
3.12

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Atmane
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
18-25 (42%)
2026 record
30-22 (58%)
113-76 (60%)
Record on hard court
98-78 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Atmane and B. Tomic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Atmane comes in with an Elo of 2106, against 1977 for B. Tomic: a 130-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 107 points in favour of T. Atmane. T. Atmane won 5 of the last ten matches, B. Tomic won 7. T. Atmane has 2 wins in the last five matches. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Atmane the favourite.

The model gave T. Atmane the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Tomic won 1-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Atmane's last five matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Atmane's first match of the tournament. This is B. Tomic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Atmane wins 58 % (77 of 133), B. Tomic 54 % (55 of 101). In deciding sets, T. Atmane wins 48 % of the time (110 matches), B. Tomic 60 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, T. Atmane turned 18 % of matches around (110 occasions), B. Tomic 28 % (116 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Atmane went on to win 81 % of matches, B. Tomic 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Atmane – B. Tomic

Who is the favourite between T. Atmane and B. Tomic?
The match is over: B. Tomic won 1-1. Bookmakers make T. Atmane the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.12 for B. Tomic. Pronocast's model had T. Atmane winning at 71 %.
When is the T. Atmane – B. Tomic match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 08:25, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Atmane and B. Tomic?
No meeting between T. Atmane and B. Tomic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Atmane – B. Tomic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026